Topic

Macro Economy

A collection of 32 posts

IVA Research

Yield Curve Flashes Yellow

One of Wall Street’s go-to recession warning signs—the yield curve—is flashing yellow right now. The media is all over it and the headlines sure sound scary. Since I too include the yield curve on my “recession dashboard,” let’s take a closer look at what it is,

| 8 min read
IVA Research

Taking Stock As We Set Off

If there were any doubts, they were squashed in September—investment markets are firmly in the bear’s grip. Not only are U.S. stocks roughly 25% lower than they were at the start of the year, but bonds are having their worst run in at least four decades.

| 11 min read